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Ottawa Senators vs. Pittsburgh Penguins - 5/19/17 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins (59-25-13) at Ottawa Senators (54-32-11)

NHL Hockey: Friday, May 19, 2017 at 8:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)

The Line: Ottawa Senators +111 / Pittsburgh Penguins -123 --- Over/Under: 5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBCSN

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in game four of the NHL Eastern Conference Finals at the Canadian Tire Centre.

The Pittsburgh Penguins would love a victory here to tie up the series before heading back home for game five. The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 23.1 percent of their power plays. Jake Guentzel leads Pittsburgh with nine goals, Evgeni Malkin has 14 assists and Phil Kessel has 45 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 79.8 percent of their power play chances. Marc-Andre Fleury has allowed 37 goals on 490 shots faced and Matt Murray has given up one goal on 20 shots. The Pittsburgh Penguins have lost four straight games when allowing at least one goal.

Ottawa Senators vs. Pittsburgh Penguins - 5/19/17 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Ottawa Senators can put a stranglehold on this series with a victory and a 3-1 lead. The Senators are averaging 2.5 goals per game and are scoring on 17 percent of their power play opportunities. Jean-Gabriel Pageau leads Ottawa with eight goals, Bobby Ryan has eight assists and Mike Hoffman has 41 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 2.6 goals per game and are killing 79.7 percent of their opponents power plays. Craig Anderson has given up 35 goals on 453 shots faced and Mike Condon has allowed one goal on 10 shots. The Ottawa Senators have allowed one goal in each of their last three games.

The Penguins are 57-24 in their last 81 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games and 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic. The Senators are 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 8-3 in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest and 20-43 in their last 63 Friday games. The Penguins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Ottawa, 1-4 in the last 5 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

We're getting plus money with the Ottawa Senators at home, a team that hasn't allowed much on the offensive end in this series and has won four of the last five meetings against the Penguins overall. Sure, the Penguins are the better team and have been in these situations before, but the value is with Ottawa, especially with the way game three played out. Add the fact the home team has won eight of the last 10 games between the Penguins and Senators, and I'm taking my chances with the plus money.

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